{"id":247885,"date":"2022-04-27T14:34:27","date_gmt":"2022-04-27T19:34:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/?p=247885"},"modified":"2022-04-27T14:45:18","modified_gmt":"2022-04-27T19:45:18","slug":"hydrologic-outlook-upcoming-weather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/?p=247885","title":{"rendered":"Hydrologic Outlook, Upcoming Weather"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>National Weather Service Bismarck ND<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hydrologic Outlook for Snowmelt and Upcoming Weather<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Another very strong precipitation event is scheduled to arrive in<br \/>\nNorth Dakota late Thursday and continue through much of the weekend.<br \/>\nNot unlike our most recent storm, this one is generally going to be<br \/>\ncentered on south-central North Dakota with rainfall totals as high<br \/>\nas 3 inches possible. As of Wednesday, models suggest this storm<br \/>\nwill likely impact every major watershed in North Dakota.<\/p>\n<p>So for western and central North Dakota, here`s a rundown of<br \/>\npotential impacts based on the current expectations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Over in the James River basin, rainfall totals between one and 2.5<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>inches of rain are possible. This rain is most likely to fall on<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>soils that are still permeable, but fairly wet. This would suggest<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>runoff will begin once somewhere around one-half inch of rain is<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>received. Rainfall rates will be extremely important in this area as<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>some of the precipitation received could be the result of<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>thunderstorms, which locally can induce much higher rainfall rates, <\/strong><strong>which in turn leads to much higher rates of runoff.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In south-central North Dakota, streams east of the Missouri like<br \/>\nBeaver Creek near Linton and Apple Creek near Bismarck are also<br \/>\nunder the threat of receiving higher rainfall rates and runoff due<br \/>\nto thunderstorms. These watersheds also contain fairly wet soils and<br \/>\nwill see runoff quickly increase after roughly one-half inch of rain<br \/>\nis received.<\/p>\n<p>In southwestern North Dakota, streams like the Cannonball, Cedar<br \/>\nCreek and the Heart River have a lower risk of strong thunderstorms,<br \/>\nbut will also need to be watched due to potentially seeing some of<br \/>\nthe overall highest rainfall totals. Farther north, the Knife River<br \/>\nstill has a modest amount of snow, and that snow when combined with<br \/>\na reasonable risk of around two inches of rain could create a<br \/>\nsituation where substantial runoff will push the Knife River and<br \/>\nSpring Creek to new highs for the year.<\/p>\n<p>Farther north, the Little Muddy near Williston and Long Creek in<br \/>\nDivide County have a fair amount of snow-water equivalent still on<br \/>\nthe ground. Thus far the melt has been slow enough to where the vast<br \/>\nmajority of the meltwater has been infiltrating into the ground.<br \/>\nThis will continue to help alleviate some of the strongest drought<br \/>\nconditions seen in years across that area, but the risk of flooding<br \/>\nand strong runoff is certainly not zero even as this is the area<br \/>\nwith the least risk of strong thunderstorms.<\/p>\n<p>In north-central North Dakota, the Souris River basin still contains<br \/>\nwhat appears to be a widespread 2 or more inches of SWE. Thus far,<br \/>\nmost of the meltwater from the snowpack has been infiltrating into<br \/>\nthe ground. Where this has not necessarily been the case is in the<br \/>\neastern portion of the basin where Willow Creek is nearing flood<br \/>\nstage for the second time this spring. Other places of concern under<br \/>\nthe wrong melting conditions, are the Des Lacs River at Foxholm, and<br \/>\nthe low-lying areas both upstream and downstream of Minot. Even as<br \/>\nthis area is only expected to receive one to one and a half inches<br \/>\nof extra moisture. It is also in an area not favored to see<br \/>\nthunderstorms and their accompanying higher rainfall rates.<br \/>\nNonetheless, it is probably the area with the highest chances of<br \/>\nseeing at least minor flooding going through the coming weekend.<\/p>\n<p>The greatest certainty in all the above resides with the<br \/>\ncontinuation of wet soils for another week. While the risk of at<br \/>\nleast minor flooding is growing all across western and central North<br \/>\nDakota, at a minimum, this latest storm will keep the countryside<br \/>\nprimed for producing runoff going forward for at least another week,<br \/>\nor more.<\/p>\n<p>142 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2022<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>National Weather Service Bismarck ND Hydrologic Outlook for Snowmelt and Upcoming Weather Another very strong precipitation event is scheduled to arrive in North Dakota late Thursday and continue through much of the weekend. Not unlike our most recent storm, this one is generally going to be centered on south-central North [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":867,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-247885","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-state","category-weathernews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247885","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=247885"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247885\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":247891,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247885\/revisions\/247891"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=247885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=247885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csinewsnow.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=247885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}