Bismarck (CSi)  The National Weather Service on Friday May 27, 2016,  issued the Flood and Water Resources Outlook…
 
 This probabilistic Spring Flood and Water Resources outlook is for
 the Missouri and James River basins of North Dakota and covers
 the period of late May through late August.
 
 The following message has four sections. The first provides some text
 on the highlights of this outlook and conditions affecting the local
 hydrology. The second section gives the current and normal/historical
 risks of flooding as determined by the Ensemble Streamflow Forecast
 model of the National Weather Service. The third section gives the
 current probabilities for reaching flood stage at the listed forecast
 locations. And finally, the fourth section covers the risk of the
 river sites falling below the listed stages.
 
 …Flood Outlook Highlights…
 This outlook contains the probabilities for reaching flood stage
 at the forecast points within the Missouri and James River basins
 of North Dakota. Due to recent widespread and heavy rainfall, what
 had been seasonally below normal probabilities for flooding are
 now much closer to normal as recent rains now occupy a good
 portion of the soil column’s capacity to hold water.
 
 …Current Conditions…
 Despite recent widespread and heavy rains, rivers tend to remain near
 the low end of normal. Recent rains have brought soil moisture levels
 into the normal, but not excessively wet range over the past couple of
 weeks.
 
 …Weather Outlook…
 The month of May has generally seen scattered rainfall totals with no
 really large areas being either exceptionally dry or excessively wet.
 In the near term 6-10 and 8 – 14 day outlooks the expectation is for
 above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation once the
 current wet pattern subsides. This transitions into a generally equal
 chance for above normal, near normal, or below normal precipitation and
 temperature pattern for June with the three month outlook suggesting a
 slightly enhanced chance for above normal temperatures while retaining
 the equal chance for precipitation.