Devils LakeNational Weather Service eastern North Dakota Grand Forks ND  0856 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2015

Devils and Stump Lakes Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook

Chances of Devils and Stump Lakes rising above given lake levels…

The probability of exceeding a given lake level is the percentage of maximum lake level rises that are above that level for all the years that were run through the model using the precipitation and temperatures for those years during the valid period of the outlook.

Interpretation Aid…There is a 50 percent chance that Devils
Lake will rise above 1451.8 feet during the valid period and
only a 5 percent chance that it will rise above 1452.0 feet.

Probabilities for exceeding listed lake levels

FROM APRIL 20, 2015 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 2015

LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
——–            —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
DEVILS LAKE…..
CREEL BAY         1451.6 1451.7 1451.7 1451.8 1451.8 1452.0 1452.0
STUMP LAKE…..
EAST STUMP LAKE   1451.6 1451.7 1451.7 1451.8 1451.8 1452.0 1452.0

. Current and previous record high lake levels…

*  The current height of Devils Lake at Creel Bay is 1451.4 feet
*  The current height of  Stump Lake near Lakota  is 1451.6 feet

*  The most recent USGS provisional record daily average height
for Devils Lake at the Creel Bay gage:
…1454.30 feet on   June 27 of 2011
*  Previous records:
…1452.05 feet on   June 27 of 2010
…1450.93 feet on   June 27 of 2009
…1449.20 feet on    May  9 of 2006
…1449.18 feet on   June 17 of 2004
…1449.17 feet on August  2 of 2005

* For more high water marks…see the USGS flood tracking charts at:

HTTP://ND.WATER.USGS.GOV/FLOODTRACKING